Off-market deals: what they are and when they make sense

By Ross Groefsema
Feb 10, 2026
4 min read
Quiet driveway, gated estate

Off-market gets talked about like it is a secret. It is not. About eighteen percent of luxury closings in the Westside in 2025 happened without an MLS listing, which is the highest share in a decade but not a revolution. Off-market is a tool. It works in specific situations and gets misused in most of the rest.

The real definition is a transaction that closes without ever hitting the open MLS, usually because the seller has a reason to avoid public marketing and the buyer has a reason to move quickly without competition. Sometimes the seller is a public figure. Sometimes there is a divorce or an estate. Sometimes the house has a story the seller does not want a Zillow comment thread retelling. Sometimes the seller just wants the right buyer, not the highest one.

Off-market is a tool, not a strategy. When it fits, it fits well.

The case for off-market from the seller side is straightforward and narrow. No public price history. No days-on-market clock running. No open houses. The right buyer pool gets quietly assembled and the deal closes without the rest of the neighborhood weighing in. The trade is that the seller usually leaves three to seven points on the table compared to a clean MLS run with three serious offers. For most sellers that trade is not worth it. For a specific kind of seller, it is.

The case for off-market from the buyer side is harder to defend. A buyer who only looks off-market is buying into a smaller, less competitive, less validated pool. The narrative is that off-market means "deals." The reality is that off-market means "the seller chose this path for a reason, and it is rarely a reason that benefits the buyer." Without competing offers, the price almost always settles closer to list than below it. Without public history, the buyer is more dependent on the inspection and the title work.

The off-market deals that actually move favorably for a buyer have one thing in common. The seller has a hard timing constraint (a divorce close, a tax deadline, a probate distribution) and the buyer can write a clean, fast, all-cash offer with no contingencies. Those situations are rare. When they show up, they close fast and quietly and the buyer gets a real discount. When they do not show up, the off-market premium pretty much washes out the privacy benefit.

What we actually do for buyers is run both rails in parallel. We watch the MLS daily and we work the off-market relationships continuously. About a quarter of the offers we write in any given quarter are on properties that have not yet listed. We do not tell a buyer to wait on off-market inventory. We tell them to write on the right property whenever the right property surfaces, and we surface a wider set than the MLS alone shows. That is the actual value.

The version of off-market that is mostly nonsense is the "exclusive network" pitch. Any agent in this town with a working contact list has access to the same pre-listing inventory. There is no membership tier that unlocks a private layer of better houses. There is judgment, relationships, and the willingness to make phone calls, which a buyer cannot evaluate from outside and which the agent cannot really demonstrate until they have been working together for a few weeks.

If a buyer asks us whether off-market is the right path for them, the honest answer is usually no. The MLS rail is broader, faster, and more competitive, which is what most buyers actually want. Off-market is a useful side channel that adds maybe one or two properties to the candidate set in a given quarter. It is not the headline strategy. It is a tool.

Published Feb 10, 2026 · Beverly Hills
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